A IEP@BU Working Paper - De-Globalization and Fragmentation
Is the world de-globalizing? Is the global economy fragmenting along geopolitical lines? This article provides an overview of the available empirical evidence on de-globalization and fragmentation. A working paper by Italo Colantone
-
FileWP_Colantone.pdf (1.25 MB)
Executive Summary
Is the world de-globalizing? Is the global economy fragmenting along geopolitical lines? This article provides an overview of the available empirical evidence on de-globalization and fragmentation.
This evidence does not point to a generalized phenomenon of de-globalization; it is more consistent with a process of slow-balization.
At the same time, there are clear signals of geopolitical fragmentation.
Against this backdrop, the article then provides: a systematic analysis of the underlying phenomena, including both structural drivers and idiosyncratic shocks; a broader reflection on the globalization backlash observed in politics already from the mid-1990s; and a discussion of the costs of de-globalization and fragmentation, both in terms of economic growth and welfare and in terms of peace and security
IEP@BU does not express opinions of its own. The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors.
